MAR 21 DE MAYO DE 2024 - 01:33hs.
Neymar and Vini Jr , candidates for Golden Boot

Betfair odds analysis gives Brazil as favorite in the World Cup

There are only 60 days left for the Qatar World Cup, which will receive all the attention of the planet in the first world cup held in the Middle East. Specialist in sports odds analysis Betfair heard the opinion of star Rivaldo, firm’s ambassador, about the Brazilian National Team and the favorites for the Golden Boot award in the competition - given by FIFA to the top scorer. For him, Neymar and Vini Jr. have great chances.

The Brazilian team continues to be the biggest favorite to win the title in 2022. According to Betfair's analysis, the odds of get the ‘hexa’ in Qatar have a 14% probability (6.0 odds - for each real bet on the team, the return will be R$ 6.00 if the result is confirmed).

The French, champions in 2018, appear just behind, in second position with 13% (6.5). England and Argentina share the third position with 11% (7.5) each. Spain appears in fifth with 9% (8.5) and Germany, four times world champion, follows in sixth, with 8% (10.0) of chances of taking the title.

Below are the ten countries most likely to win the 2022 World Cup, according to Betfair reviews:

1. Brazil - 14% (6.0)

2. France - 13% (6.5)

3. England and Argentina - 11% (7.5)

5. Spain - 9% (8.5)

6. Germany - 8% (10.0)

7. Belgium - 7% (12.0)

8. Portugal and Netherlands- 6% (13.0)

10. Denmark - 3% (31.0)

In Rivaldo's opinion, Brazil is really the biggest favorite to win the championship title, which starts in just 60 days. “The Brazilian national team has a good squad and a coach that makes Brazilian fans dream about the sixth. Although a Cup has the particularity of not having a proper margin for error from the round of 16 onwards, I believe that Brazil can really prove that it deserves to be favorite over rivals such as France, England and Argentina in the decisive phase of the World Cup,” said Rivaldo in the interview with Betfair.

Seven teams will try to lift the cup again in 2022. Betfair has calculated that there is a 68% (1.36) chance of Brazil (five-time champion), Germany (4), Argentina (2), France (2), Uruguay (2), Spain and England (1) win the World Cup again. According to the sportsbook, the chances of the Cup in Qatar having an unprecedented champion are only 32% (2.88).

Rivaldo, Betfair's ambassador, believes that it will be difficult to have an unprecedented champion in 2022, but he cites the main teams with the greatest chances of winning for the first time. “There are always teams that can fight for the World Cup title that have never won the competition before. I see the Netherlands, Portugal and Belgium as possible teams that could take the cup for the first time, in such an open competition, in which the team that makes the fewest mistakes usually wins. I do not exclude that these three teams will take the trophy, although I recognize that It will be very difficult to beat the favoritism of those that have already been champions.”

Brazil is the team with the most favoritism to reach the final on December 18. According to Betfair, it tops the list with a 12% (3.5) probability of being a finalist, while France is the other favorite with an 11% (3.75) probability of being a finalist. On the other hand, Tunisia, Australia, Costa Rica and Saudi Arabia are the teams least likely to be in the final with a 0.4% chance each.

Rivaldo told Betfair that the team led by coach Tite should be among the finalists in December. “I hope that Brazil will be a finalist and naturally we will have other teams with great tradition like France or Germany looking to win a new trophy. I expect a tournament where anything can happen, including an unprecedented Champion,” commented the Betfair ambassador.

For the Golden Boot, award given to the top scorer of the World Cup, the English Harry Kane is the favorite to take the award once again (he already won in 2018). There are 15% (7.0) chances for the Tottenham striker to be chosen as the best in the World Cup, against 12% (9.0) for French Kylian Mbappé and 8% (13.0) for Neymar to win the award.

Another Brazilian who is among the top ten for the individual conquest is Vinicius Júnior, who appears in seventh with 4%, behind the Argentine Lionel Messi, the Portuguese Cristiano Ronaldo and the Belgian Romelu Lukaku.

Rivaldo believes that Neymar and Vinícius Júnior are favorites for the award. “The FIFA Golden Boot will always be a very open competition that could have a winner who is not at the top of the list at the moment. According to Betfair's analysis, the mentioned players have a good chance of getting it. In Brazil, besides Neymar, Vini Jr is one of the big favorites, and it wouldn't be a surprise if he manages to repeat in the World Cup what he's been doing at Real Madrid. I believe he could be a good surprise at this World Cup.”

The ranking analyzed by Betfair for the possible top scorers are:

1. Harry Kane - 16% (7.0)

2. Mbappé - 12% (9.0)

3. Neymar and Benzema - 8% (13.0)

5. Cristiano Ronaldo - 7% (15.0)

6. Lionel Messi - 6% (17.0)

7. Romelu Lukaku - 5% (19.0)

8. Vinicius Jr, Lautaro Martinez and Memphis Depay - 4% (26.0)

11. Lewandowski - 3% (34.0)

Rivaldo concluded the interview with Betfair stating that the team that manages to reach the finals could have its star chosen as the best player of the Cup. “The tendency is that the teams that reach the finals of the tournament end up having a better chance of having the ace of the Cup. Still, it will always be a very open competition that could have a winner who is not at the top of the list at the moment.”

Betfair is one of the largest online sports betting providers in the world and an official sponsor of CONMEBOL Libertadores and Sudamericana. The company, founded in London in 2000, pioneered the provision of peer-to-peer (Betfair Exchange) betting in the betting industry and manages a full suite of sports betting, entertainment events and online gaming products for over 4 million of customers worldwide, available to over 18s.

Thanks to its state-of-the-art technology, the platform offers a wide catalog of products that allows you to bet with your own odds and odds offered by other users. Betfair is licensed to operate online betting and other games in 19 countries including Spain, Italy, Malta, Colombia and Great Britain.

Source: GMB